Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 4.029267 4.332506 4.657362 5.032954 5.457387 5.924699 6.481672
2025-05-18 3.540044 3.962069 4.443888 5.041524 5.772801 6.652040 7.810936
2025-05-25 3.164400 3.627957 4.178236 4.892052 5.812985 6.990553 8.663004
2025-06-01 2.905211 3.391272 3.985548 4.783760 5.858257 7.304392 9.496399
2025-06-08 2.748159 3.259491 3.901408 4.791555 6.038635 7.802681 10.659020
2025-06-15 2.647594 3.186913 3.880912 4.873041 6.318445 8.468550 12.201524
2025-06-22 2.469503 2.999426 3.691773 4.700557 6.207346 8.523857 12.741138
2025-06-29 2.332033 2.856271 3.550996 4.581651 6.158489 8.662409 13.445158
2025-07-06 2.213611 2.731353 3.426186 4.473820 6.112059 8.792890 14.154599
2025-07-13 2.141499 2.664868 3.377543 4.472543 6.229726 9.211595 15.527977
2025-07-20 2.095188 2.630772 3.371482 4.532991 6.450651 9.840716 17.521525
2025-07-27 2.066315 2.618852 3.395505 4.639973 6.758654 10.677968 20.279724
2025-08-03 2.000115 2.555354 3.346822 4.639249 6.900644 11.261550 22.778993
2025-08-10 1.938874 2.496839 3.303363 4.645714 7.061296 11.927903 25.895299
2025-08-17 1.848322 2.391189 3.182284 4.513780 6.950224 11.991442 27.245338
2025-08-24 1.773661 2.305511 3.087097 4.418056 6.896861 12.174564 29.110564
2025-08-31 1.728796 2.261735 3.053966 4.424950 7.041950 12.845893 33.178701
2025-09-07 1.701795 2.243119 3.058647 4.496984 7.324760 13.919541 39.845446
2025-09-14 1.627782 2.150530 2.941350 4.344414 7.128745 13.728632 40.710028
2025-09-21 1.568248 2.077974 2.853182 4.239027 7.022468 13.761402 42.794549
2025-09-28 1.514242 2.012058 2.772994 4.143304 6.927832 13.811042 45.087768
2025-10-05 1.482751 1.979575 2.745535 4.142170 7.037715 14.460779 51.655149
2025-10-12 1.463875 1.965770 2.747759 4.195849 7.274948 15.549076 63.049896